It is always a difficult game at Stoke City, however, they are not as strong at home as they once were.
The same could be said of Arsenal who has lost more often on the road recently than they usually do.
Stoke stats over last 20 home games
Home wins 6
Home Losses 9
7 of the last 20 Stoke home games have been over 2.5
8 of the last 20 Stoke home games both teams have scored.
Stoke have scored first in 10 of their last 20 home games
Stoke have conceded first in 8 of their last 20 home games
Stoke have scored in 12 of their last 20 home games
Arsenal stats over last 20 away games
Away wins 12
Away Losses 6
14 of the last 20 Arsenal away games have been over 2.5
11 of the last 20 Arsenal away games both teams have scored.
Arsenal have scored first in 12 of their last 20 away games
Arsenal have conceded first in 8 of their last 20 away games
Arsenal have scored in 18 of their last 20 away games
The one glaring statistic is that Arsenal scores 90% of the time away from home so we can put that in the plus column.
Another plus is that 70% of their away games have ended over 2.5 goals, though that is offset somewhat by the fact that only 35% of Stokes home games ended over 2.5 goals.
Weighing up the opening day performances and the statistics Arsenal look good for the win in a low scoring game.
Therefore the best value bet in this game is