Brighton v Portsmouth
These south coast sides will be meeting for the first time since the 2011/12 Championship season, in which Brighton did the double over their neighbours, winning to nil on both occasions.
A lot has changed since then, with the Seagulls fighting to avoid going back down to the Championship, and Pompey fighting their hardest to get back to playing that level of football. The visitors have got to this stage via a penalty shootout after a 3-3 thriller with Stevenage, and will be looking to replicate or better their run from last year when they got to the third round for the first time since 2010/11. That means they’ve won just four of their last 15 League Cup matches when including extra time, while a trip to Brighton is not what they need to improve upon that record.
Graham Potter’s charges don’t have the best record in this competition, though have gone further than this stage in four of the last six seasons. They put on a valiant display when hosting Chelsea in their Premier League opener on Monday night, and were ultimately unlucky to go down 3-1, spurning the chance to draw level again at 2-1 as they put in a highly respectable performance. That should fill them with confidence here, even if Potter does opt to rest some players.
That’s largely been the story in charge of Brighton under Potter’s management, and despite surviving relegation, they’ve still only won three of their 20 matches this year across all tournaments, with their 2-1 victory over Arsenal the only match they’ve won here at the Amex.
The visitors have a much better W15-D6-L4 record in 2020, though with just one victory in their last eight, they definitely don’t have the momentum required to startle the Seagulls. A second home win of 2020 looks to be on the cards for the Premier League side.
What’s more, Brighton tying down Lewis Dunk and Ben White to new long-term contracts has done them wonders both in terms of morale, and defensive stability. White, Webster and Dunk proved more than capable against the Blues despite conceding three, with one being a penalty, one a 25-yard thunderbolt from Reece James and the other a desperately unlucky deflected effort. Potter’s preferred five at the back system adds a level of stability too, even if those aforementioned defenders don’t take to the field from the off, and we’d expect them to do a job here and bring the win to nil home for a third successive game against Pompey.
Brighton win @ 8/11
Brighton Win to Nil @ 17/10